论文标题

Geepers:使用主分数和堆叠估计方程的主分层

GEEPERs: Principal Stratification using Principal Scores and Stacked Estimating Equations

论文作者

Sales, Adam C., Vanacore, Kirk P., Ottmar, Erin R.

论文摘要

主分层是理解因果效应的框架,该因素是基于本身可能受到治疗影响的变量的条件。例如,教育计算机应用程序的一个组成部分是提供答案的``底范''提示。在评估最新的针对替代计划的实验评估时,研究人员可能有兴趣估算学生的单独平均治疗效果,如果有机会,那些将经常要求底线提示,以及对不会的学生。大多数主要分层估计器都依赖于强大的结构或建模假设,许多主体需要进行高级统计培训才能进行适应和检查。在本文中,我们为基于二进制指标引入了一个新的M估计性主效应估计器,以实现单向不合格。可以使用常规回归(尽管标准错误需要专门的三明治公式)计算估计值,并且不依赖分布假设。我们提出了一项模拟研究,该研究证明了与流行替代方案相比,新方法的更大鲁棒性,并通过两个实际数据分析说明了该方法。

Principal stratification is a framework for making sense of causal effects conditioned on variables that themselves may have been affected by treatment. For instance, one component of an educational computer application is the availability of ``bottom-out'' hints that provide the answer. In evaluating a recent experimental evaluation against alternative programs without bottom-out hints, researchers may be interested in estimating separate average treatment effects for students who, if given the opportunity, would request bottom-out hints frequently, and for students who would not. Most principal stratification estimators rely on strong structural or modeling assumptions, and many require advanced statistical training to fit and check. In this paper, we introduce a new M-estimation principal effect estimator for one-way noncompliance based on a binary indicator. Estimates may be computed using conventional regressions (though the standard errors require a specialized sandwich formula) and do not rely on distributional assumptions. We present a simulation study that demonstrates the novel method's greater robustness compared to popular alternatives and illustrate the method through two real-data analyses.

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