论文标题
通过优势分析确定新斯科舍省流感样疾病的区域驱动力
Identifying the regional drivers of influenza-like illness in Nova Scotia with dominance analysis
论文作者
论文摘要
病毒病原体的传播本质上是一个空间过程。尽管在流行病学水平上的病毒蔓延的时间方面越来越好,但由于对空间动力学如何影响病毒群体的时间动态的理论上的期望,病毒传播的空间方面仍被研究研究。表征空间传播和理解驱动因素的因素对于预期疾病发病率的局部时间和指导更明智的控制策略至关重要。使用来自新斯科舍省的独特数据集,这项研究的目的是应用一种新的新颖方法,该方法恢复了流感样病毒蔓延的空间网络,其中确定和排名在其优势中。然后,我们专注于确定这些主要区域的区域预测指标。
The spread of viral pathogens is inherently a spatial process. While the temporal aspects of viral spread at the epidemiological level have been increasingly well characterized, the spatial aspects of viral spread are still understudied due to a striking absence of theoretical expectations of how spatial dynamics may impact the temporal dynamics of viral populations. Characterizing the spatial transmission and understanding the factors driving it are important for anticipating local timing of disease incidence and for guiding more informed control strategies. Using a unique data set from Nova Scotia, the objective of this study is to apply a new novel method that recovers a spatial network of the influenza-like viral spread where the regions in their dominance are identified and ranked. We, then, focus on identifying regional predictors of those dominant regions.