论文标题
通过新近预测在线分销转移检测
Online Distribution Shift Detection via Recency Prediction
论文作者
论文摘要
当在高风险应用程序中部署现代机器学习机器人系统时,检测分配转移至关重要。但是,大多数用于检测分配转移的方法并不适合机器人设置,在该设置中,数据通常以流式传输方式到达,并且可能非常高。在这项工作中,我们提出了一种在线方法来检测分配转移,并保证误报率 - 即,当没有分配变化时,我们的系统不太可能(概率$ <ε$)错误地发布警报;因此,应注意发出的任何警报。我们的方法是专门设计用于有效检测的,即使使用高维数据,与先前的工作相比,在实践中,它在实践中的凭经验上最多可实现11倍的检测,同时保持实践中的较低的假阴性率(每当我们的实验中存在分布变化时,我们的方法确实会发出警报)。我们在仿真和硬件中展示了视觉伺服任务的方法,并证明我们的方法确实在发生故障之前发出警报。
When deploying modern machine learning-enabled robotic systems in high-stakes applications, detecting distribution shift is critical. However, most existing methods for detecting distribution shift are not well-suited to robotics settings, where data often arrives in a streaming fashion and may be very high-dimensional. In this work, we present an online method for detecting distribution shift with guarantees on the false positive rate - i.e., when there is no distribution shift, our system is very unlikely (with probability $< ε$) to falsely issue an alert; any alerts that are issued should therefore be heeded. Our method is specifically designed for efficient detection even with high dimensional data, and it empirically achieves up to 11x faster detection on realistic robotics settings compared to prior work while maintaining a low false negative rate in practice (whenever there is a distribution shift in our experiments, our method indeed emits an alert). We demonstrate our approach in both simulation and hardware for a visual servoing task, and show that our method indeed issues an alert before a failure occurs.