论文标题

在美国西部发电的脱碳时,土地使用权衡取舍

Land Use Trade-offs in Decarbonization of Electricity Generation in the American West

论文作者

Patankar, Neha, Sarkela-Basset, Xiili, Schivley, Greg, Leslie, Emily, Jenkins, Jesse

论文摘要

土地利用冲突可能会限制实现《降低通货膨胀法》(IRA)的脱碳目标所需的前所未有的可再生能源部署率。本文采用地理空间解决的数据和详细的电力系统容量扩展模型来生成160个负担得起的零碳电力供应投资组合,并评估每个投资组合的土地使用影响。在所有适合太阳能开发的地点中,只有不到4%,所有风场中的17%出现在这组投资组合中。在这些地点中,有53%的太阳能和85%的风场表现出更高的开发风险和土地利用冲突的潜力。因此,我们发现,如果没有潜在的土地利用冲突的地点可再生的开发,就无法以可负担的方式实现干净的电力目标。但是,本文确定了整个美国西部各州的明显灵活性,以固定能源或改变电力供应组合的组成,以减轻潜在的冲突。

Land-use conflicts may constrain the unprecedented rates of renewable energy deployment required to meet the decarbonization goals of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). This paper employs geospatially resolved data and a detailed electricity system capacity expansion model to generate 160 affordable, zero-carbon electricity supply portfolios for the American west and evaluates the land use impacts of each portfolio. Less than 4% of all sites suitable for solar development and 17% of all wind sites appear in this set of portfolios. Of these sites, 53% of solar and 85% of wind sites exhibit higher development risk and potential for land use conflict. We thus find that clean electricity goals cannot be achieved in an affordable manner without substantial renewable development on sites with potential for land use conflict. However, this paper identifies significant flexibility across western U.S. states to site renewable energy or alter the composition of the electricity supply portfolio to ameliorate potential conflicts.

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