论文标题

人口和技术增长:Roev。Wade的证据

Population and Technological Growth: Evidence from Roe v. Wade

论文作者

Wong, John T. H., Man, Matthias Hei, Hung, Alex Li Cheuk

论文摘要

我们利用了ROE诉WADE裁决的异构影响,该裁决裁定最大的堕胎限制违宪。我们确定的假设是,在ROE之前未对其堕胎法释放的国家将遭受比经历了前改革之前的州更大比例的负面冲击。我们估计出生的差异差异,并使用估计的出生作为外源治疗变量,以预测人均专利。我们的结果表明,人均专利的同类偏离人群人的一项标准偏差增加增加了0.24个标准偏差。这些结果表明,在边缘,增加生育能力可以增加专利生产。就专利生产是技术增长的足够代表,增加出生对技术增长有积极的影响。本文及其结果与流产本身的问题无关。

We exploit the heterogeneous impact of the Roe v. Wade ruling by the US Supreme Court, which ruled most abortion restrictions unconstitutional. Our identifying assumption is that states which had not liberalized their abortion laws prior to Roe would experience a negative birth shock of greater proportion than states which had undergone pre-Roe reforms. We estimate the difference-in-difference in births and use estimated births as an exogenous treatment variable to predict patents per capita. Our results show that one standard deviation increase in cohort starting population increases per capita patents by 0.24 standard deviation. These results suggest that at the margins, increasing fertility can increase patent production. Insofar as patent production is a sufficient proxy for technological growth, increasing births has a positive impact on technological growth. This paper and its results do not pertain to the issue of abortion itself.

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