论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
COVID Future Panel Survey: A Unique Public Dataset Documenting How U.S. Residents' Travel Related Choices Changed During the COVID-19 Pandemic
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
The COVID-19 pandemic is an unprecedented global crisis that has impacted virtually everyone. We conducted a nationwide online longitudinal survey in the United States to collect information about the shifts in travel-related behavior and attitudes before, during, and after the pandemic. The survey asked questions about commuting, long distance travel, working from home, online learning, online shopping, pandemic experiences, attitudes, and demographic information. The survey has been deployed to the same respondents thrice to observe how the responses to the pandemic have evolved over time. The first wave of the survey was conducted from April 2020 to June 2021, the second wave from November 2020 to August 2021, and the third wave from October 2021 to November 2021. In total, 9,265 responses were collected in the first wave; of these, 2,877 respondents returned for the second wave and 2,728 for the third wave. Survey data are publicly available. This unique dataset can aid policy makers in making decisions in areas including transport, workforce development, and more. This article demonstrates the framework for conducting this online longitudinal survey. It details the step-by-step procedure involved in conducting the survey and in curating the data to make it representative of the national trends.