论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Dynamic Traffic Assignment for Electric Vehicles

论文作者

Graf, Lukas, Harks, Tobias, Palkar, Prashant

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

We initiate the study of dynamic traffic assignment for electrical vehicles addressing the specific challenges such as range limitations and the possibility of battery recharge at predefined charging locations. We pose the dynamic equilibrium problem within the deterministic queueing model of Vickrey and as our main result, we establish the existence of an energy-feasible dynamic equilibrium. There are three key modeling-ingredients for obtaining this existence result: * We introduce a walk-based definition of dynamic traffic flows which allows for cyclic routing behavior as a result of recharging events en route. * We use abstract convex feasibility sets in an appropriate function space to model the energy-feasibility of used walks. * We introduce the concept of capacitated dynamic equilibrium walk-flows which generalize the former unrestricted dynamic equilibrium path-flows. Viewed in this framework, we show the existence of an energy-feasible dynamic equilibrium by applying an infinite dimensional variational inequality, which in turn requires a careful analysis of continuity properties of the network loading as a result of injecting flow into walks. We complement our theoretical results by a computational study in which we design a fixed-point algorithm computing energy-feasible dynamic equilibria. We apply the algorithm to standard real-world instances from the traffic assignment community illustrating the complex interplay of resulting travel times, energy consumption and prices paid at equilibrium.

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