论文标题
使用复杂网络研究二进制旋风的相互作用和完整合并
Study of Interaction and Complete Merging of Binary Cyclones Using Complex Networks
论文作者
论文摘要
旋风是地球上最危险的极端天气事件之一。当两个共旋转的旋风靠近接近时,由于它们的相互作用而出现了完全合并(CM)的可能性。但是,确定二进制旋风分子相互作用并预测合并的过渡对于天气预测者具有挑战性。在本研究中,我们提出了一种创新的方法,可以使用基于随时间不断的诱导速度的未加权定向网络在两个这样的CM事件期间旋风之间不断发展的涡流相互作用。我们发现,基于网络的指标,即,在两种旋风分子之间的相互作用过程中,可以量化两种旋风的变化,并且比传统上使用的分隔距离更好,以便在CM之前对交互阶段进行分类。网络指标还有助于确定相互作用期间的主导旋风,并量化主导和合并旋风的强度变化。最后,我们表明网络度量还可以在CM事件发生之前的早期指示。
Cyclones are amongst the most hazardous extreme weather events on Earth. When two co-rotating cyclones come in close proximity, a possibility of complete merger (CM) arises due to their interactions. However, identifying the transitions in the interaction of binary cyclones and predicting the merger is challenging for weather forecasters. In the present study, we suggest an innovative approach to understand the evolving vortical interactions between the cyclones during two such CM events using time-evolving induced velocity based unweighted directed networks. We find that network-based indicators, namely, in-degree and out-degree, can quantify the changes during the interaction between two cyclones and are better candidates than the traditionally used separation distance to classify the interaction stages before a CM. The network indicators also help to identify the dominating cyclone during the period of interaction and quantify the variation of the strength of the dominating and merged cyclones. Finally, we show that the network measures also provide an early indication of the CM event well before its occurrence.