论文标题
枪支，僵尸和硬头轴：尚存的人类社会的成本效益建议
Guns, Zombies, and Steelhead Axes: cost-effective recommendations for surviving human societies
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具，其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而，其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间，然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用，该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明，使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器，即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程，也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后，我们表明，当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声，甚至控制方程变得不准确时，我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测，从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
In pop culture, there are many strategies to curtail zombie apocalypses. However, it remains unclear what routes we should take to eliminate zombies effectively and affordably. So, we created a mathematical model to examine interventions that armed adults with steelhead axes or provided enough ammunition and a 9mm handgun to kill zombies in either a "single-tap" or "double-tap". We investigate each case over two years under slow, moderate speed, and fast zombies scenarios. We quantify health burden by zombies averted, disability-adjusted life-years averted, and determine cost-effectiveness using the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Our predictions show the single=tap intervention is the best for stopping the zombie apocalypse, as it would avert hundreds of millions of zombies and deaths while also being the most cost-effective intervention. Altogether, this suggests conserving ammunition and supplying ranged weapons would be an effective use of limited resources in the event of a zombie uprising.
