论文标题

共同19-19大流行如何改变经济学理论?

How Covid-19 Pandemic Changes the Theory of Economics?

论文作者

Estola, Matti

论文摘要

在其历史上,经济学的最终目标是开发类似的框架来建模物理学发明的经济行为。但是,这并没有成功,并且该过程的当前状态是基于静态优化的新古典框架。但是,通过使用静态框架,我们无法对经济量的时间路径进行建模,因为对于成长中的公司或破产的公司,不存在正利润最大化生产流量。由于这些问题,我们提出了一种动态理论,用于生产寻求利润的公司,在该公司的调整可能是稳定或不稳定的。目前,这很重要,因为我们应该能够预测由于19日大流行而导致的公司未来破产。通过使用该模型,我们可以解决公司破产的时间时刻,这是多个参数的函数。所提出的模型在数学上与在抵抗介质中移动的粒子的牛顿模型相同,因此该模型也解释了阻止运动的原因。因此,用于建模物理中动态事件的框架适用于经济学,我们给出了为什么物理学对经济学发展比纯数学更重要的原因。 (Jel D21,O12) 关键字:新古典框架的局限性,生产动态,经济力量,经济学与物理学之间的联系。

During its history, the ultimate goal of economics has been to develop similar frameworks for modeling economic behavior as invented in physics. This has not been successful, however, and current state of the process is the neoclassical framework that bases on static optimization. By using a static framework, however, we cannot model and forecast the time paths of economic quantities because for a growing firm or a firm going into bankruptcy, a positive profit maximizing flow of production does not exist. Due to these problems, we present a dynamic theory for the production of a profit-seeking firm where the adjustment may be stable or unstable. This is important, currently, because we should be able to forecast the possible future bankruptcies of firms due to the Covid-19 pandemic. By using the model, we can solve the time moment of bankruptcy of a firm as a function of several parameters. The proposed model is mathematically identical with Newtonian model of a particle moving in a resisting medium, and so the model explains the reasons that stop the motion too. The frameworks for modeling dynamic events in physics are thus applicable in economics, and we give reasons why physics is more important for the development of economics than pure mathematics. (JEL D21, O12) Keywords: Limitations of neoclassical framework, Dynamics of production, Economic force, Connections between economics and physics.

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