论文标题
Pulsar毛刺活性的统计估计值
Statistical estimates of the pulsar glitch activity
论文作者
论文摘要
计算脉冲星的故障活性的一种常见方法是观察到的累积小故障历史的普通线性回归。然而,这种方法可能会低估活动上的误差,因为它隐含地假设故障大小和等待时间之间的(长期)线性依赖性以及在拟合残留物中的均等方差,即同性差异,这两个假设都不是PULSAR数据均无合理的假设。在本文中,我们回顾了小故障活性参数的外推,并探讨了两个替代方法:线性拟合中同质性假设的松弛以及Bootstrap技术的使用。我们发现,相对于普通线性回归获得的活动的不确定性较大,尤其是对于那些可能会受到单个故障影响的对象。我们讨论这如何影响与中子恒星区域相关的惯性时刻,该恒星包含固定的小故障序列释放的角动量的超流体储层。我们发现,如果人们认为使用引导方法估计的活动的不确定性并允许超级流体储层完全在地壳中,则该上限不太紧。
A common way to calculate the glitch activity of a pulsar is an ordinary linear regression of the observed cumulative glitch history. This method however is likely to underestimate the errors on the activity, as it implicitly assumes a (long-term) linear dependence between glitch sizes and waiting times, as well as equal variance, i.e., homoscedasticity, in the fit residuals, both assumptions that are not well justified from pulsar data. In this paper, we review the extrapolation of the glitch activity parameter and explore two alternatives: the relaxation of the homoscedasticity hypothesis in the linear fit and the use of the bootstrap technique. We find a larger uncertainty in the activity with respect to that obtained by ordinary linear regression, especially for those objects in which it can be significantly affected by a single glitch. We discuss how this affects the theoretical upper bound on the moment of inertia associated with the region of a neutron star containing the superfluid reservoir of angular momentum released in a stationary sequence of glitches. We find that this upper bound is less tight if one considers the uncertainty on the activity estimated with the bootstrap method and allows for models in which the superfluid reservoir is entirely in the crust.