论文标题

有多近和多少?将健康结果与建筑环境空间分布联系起来

How Close and How Much? Linking Health Outcomes to Built Environment Spatial Distributions

论文作者

Peterson, Adam, Berrocal, Veronica, Sanchez-Vaznaugh, Emma, Sanchez, Brisa

论文摘要

构建环境特征(BEF)是指人类建构环境的各个方面,这反过来又可能支持或限制与健康相关的行为,从而影响健康。在本文中,我们有兴趣了解快餐店(FFRS)的空间分布和数量是否影响学童肥胖的风险。为了实现这一目标,我们提出了一个两阶段的贝叶斯分层建模框架。在第一阶段,研究FFR相对于某些参考位置的位置 - 在我们的情况下,我们将FFR与这些参考位置的距离建模为对无孔子泊松过程(IPP)的实现。为了确定对FFR暴露的代表性空间模式,我们使用贝叶斯非参数观点对IPP的强度函数进行建模,并以前指定了嵌套的Dirichlet过程。第二阶段模型将暴露模式与肥胖有关,提供两种不同的方法来适应第一阶段估计的暴露模式的不确定性:在第一种方法中,学校级别的肥胖级数在集群指标上进行了回归,每种肥胖症都代表了对FFRS暴露的主要模式。在第二个中,我们采用贝叶斯内核机回归,将肥胖的几率与多元矢量的几率联系起来,向所有其他学校报告了给定学校的相似程度。我们对加利福尼亚学童中FFR发生模式对肥胖模式的影响的分析表明,在2010年,在始终被分配到集群的学校中,与其他人相比,上9年级的9年级学生的肥胖几率较低。

Built environment features (BEFs) refer to aspects of the human constructed environment, which may in turn support or restrict health related behaviors and thus impact health. In this paper we are interested in understanding whether the spatial distribution and quantity of fast food restaurants (FFRs) influence the risk of obesity in schoolchildren. To achieve this goal, we propose a two-stage Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework. In the first stage, examining the position of FFRs relative to that of some reference locations - in our case, schools - we model the distances of FFRs from these reference locations as realizations of Inhomogenous Poisson processes (IPP). With the goal of identifying representative spatial patterns of exposure to FFRs, we model the intensity functions of the IPPs using a Bayesian non-parametric viewpoint and specifying a Nested Dirichlet Process prior. The second stage model relates exposure patterns to obesity, offering two different approaches to accommodate uncertainty in the exposure patterns estimated in the first stage: in the first approach the odds of obesity at the school level is regressed on cluster indicators, each representing a major pattern of exposure to FFRs. In the second, we employ Bayesian Kernel Machine regression to relate the odds of obesity to the multivariate vector reporting the degree of similarity of a given school to all other schools. Our analysis on the influence of patterns of FFR occurrence on obesity among Californian schoolchildren has indicated that, in 2010, among schools that are consistently assigned to a cluster, there is a lower odds of obesity amongst 9th graders who attend schools with most distant FFR occurrences in a 1-mile radius as compared to others.

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