论文标题
博彩公司在19次休息后，在德国德国德国德国德国德国政权中失踪的主场优势的错误定价
Bookmakers' mispricing of the disappeared home advantage in the German Bundesliga after the COVID-19 break
论文作者
论文摘要
1920年3月，Covid-19的爆发导致了欧洲经济活动的关闭。由于禁止公众聚会，其中包括体育部门。德国德甲联赛是最早意识到没有观众的重新开始的运动联赛之一。最近的几项研究表明，其余的比赛侵蚀了团队的主场优势。我们的论文分析了博彩公司对这种家庭优势消失的反应。我们表明，庄家遇到问题，可以根据消失的家庭优势来调整投注赔率，这为有利可图的博彩策略打开了机会。
The outbreak of COVID-19 in March 2020 led to a shutdown of economic activities in Europe. This included the sports sector, since public gatherings were prohibited. The German Bundesliga was among the first sport leagues realising a restart without spectators. Several recent studies suggest that the home advantage of teams was eroded for the remaining matches. Our paper analyses the reaction by bookmakers to the disappearance of such home advantage. We show that bookmakers had problems to adjust the betting odds in accordance to the disappeared home advantage, opening opportunities for profitable betting strategies.
