论文标题
锁定对巴基斯坦Covid-19的传播的影响
Effect of Lockdown on the spread of COVID-19 in Pakistan
论文作者
论文摘要
一项新颖的冠状病毒起源于2019年12月下旬来自中国武汉，现已影响全球几乎所有国家。巴基斯坦在2月下旬报告了其第一个案件。自第一次案件以来三周后，该国锁定了，当时总数超过880。巴基斯坦锁定了一个多月以上，这有效地减慢了Covid 19的蔓延，但是在4月下旬，政府允许政府放松身心，以使经济造成压力。在这项研究中，巴基斯坦国家卫生研究院的日常情况报告已经分析了数据，并研究了最初的严格锁定和后来的智能锁定的影响。我们的分析显示，锁定前的案件增加了13.14个百分比，在锁定期间下降到6.55％。它证明了锁定的有效性。但是，如果在智能锁定期间，有限的百分比增加了7.24。如果它继续以这种方式上升，巴基斯坦可能需要再次进入严格的第二次锁定。
A novel coronavirus originated from Wuhan, China in late December 2019 has now affected almost all countries worldwide. Pakistan reported its first case in late February. The country went to lockdown after three weeks since the first case, when the total number of cases were over 880. Pakistan imposed a lockdown for more than a month which slowed the spread of COVID 19 effectively, however in late April relaxation in lockdown was allowed by the government in stages to lift the strain on the economy. In this study, the data has been analyzed from daily situation reports by the National Institute of Health Pakistan and the effects of initial strict lockdown and later smart lockdown have been studied. Our analysis showed a 13.14 Percentage increase in cases before lockdown which drops down to 6.55 percent during the lockdown. It proved the effectiveness of lockdown. However, the Percentage Increase in case grows up to 7.24 during a smart lockdown. If it continues to rise in this manner, Pakistan may need to enter again into a strict second lockdown.
