论文标题

将贝叶斯分层概率模型应用于面试年级评估

Applying Bayesian Hierarchical Probit Model to Interview Grade Evaluation

论文作者

Ohnishi, Yuki, Sugaya, Shinsuke

论文摘要

求职面试是大多数公司获得潜在候选人的基本活动,也是求职者获得良好回报和充实的职业机会的基本活动。在许多情况下,采访进行了多种过程,例如电话采访和几次面对面的访谈。在每个阶段,在各个方面都评估候选人。其中,年级评估(例如1-4级评级)可能被用作评估候选人的合理方法。但是,由于每个评估都是基于对访调员的主观判断,因此可以偏向汇总的评估,因为未检查访调员的韧性差异。此外,值得注意的是,面试官的韧性可能会因面试而异。如本文所述,我们提出了一个分析框架,即同时估算候选人的真正潜力和采访者判断的韧性,考虑工作访谈巡回赛,并采用算法来提取对候选人的真正潜力和通过分析工作访谈级别数据的潜在变量的访问者的真正潜力和访问者作为潜在变量的认识。我们将贝叶斯层次级别的概率模型应用于HRMO的等级数据,这是由Bizreach,Inc。运营的基于云的申请人跟踪系统(ATS),这是一家IT启动,尤其是日本人类资源需求。我们的模型成功地量化了候选人的潜力和访调员的韧性。给出了模型的解释和应用,并讨论其在现实世界中雇用过程中的位置。参数由马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(MCMC)估算。还提供了参数的后验分布对不确定性进行的讨论,并与分析一起提供。

Job interviews are a fundamental activity for most corporations to acquire potential candidates, and for job seekers to get well-rewarded and fulfilling career opportunities. In many cases, interviews are conducted in multiple processes such as telephone interviews and several face-to-face interviews. At each stage, candidates are evaluated in various aspects. Among them, grade evaluation, such as a rating on a 1-4 scale, might be used as a reasonable method to evaluate candidates. However, because each evaluation is based on a subjective judgment of interviewers, the aggregated evaluations can be biased because the difference in toughness of interviewers is not examined. Additionally, it is noteworthy that the toughness of interviewers might vary depending on the interview round. As described herein, we propose an analytical framework of simultaneous estimation for both the true potential of candidates and toughness of interviewers' judgment considering job interview rounds, with algorithms to extract unseen knowledge of the true potential of candidates and toughness of interviewers as latent variables through analyzing grade data of job interviews. We apply a Bayesian Hierarchical Ordered Probit Model to the grade data from HRMOS, a cloud-based Applicant Tracking System (ATS) operated by BizReach, Inc., an IT start-up particularly addressing human-resource needs in Japan. Our model successfully quantifies the candidate potential and the interviewers' toughness. An interpretation and applications of the model are given along with a discussion of its place within hiring processes in real-world settings. The parameters are estimated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). A discussion of uncertainty, which is given by the posterior distribution of the parameters, is also provided along with the analysis.

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