论文标题
最佳的更改点检测与大型和中等偏差制度中的训练序列
Optimal Change-Point Detection with Training Sequences in the Large and Moderate Deviations Regimes
论文作者
论文摘要
本文从信息理论的角度研究了一个新颖的离线变更点检测问题。与大多数相关作品相反,我们假设尚不清楚基础前后分布的知识,并且只能从可用的培训序列中学到。我们进一步要求\ emph {估计误差}的概率呈指数式或亚指数快速衰减(分别对应于信息理论中的大而中等偏差的制度)。基于训练序列以及由单个变更点组成的测试序列,我们设计了一个变更点的估计器,并进一步表明,通过建立匹配(强)对话,该估计器是最佳的。这导致了最佳置信宽度的完整表征(即,在大型和中度偏差方案下,真正更改点所在的置信区间的一半是未检测到的误差的函数。
This paper investigates a novel offline change-point detection problem from an information-theoretic perspective. In contrast to most related works, we assume that the knowledge of the underlying pre- and post-change distributions are not known and can only be learned from the training sequences which are available. We further require the probability of the \emph{estimation error} to decay either exponentially or sub-exponentially fast (corresponding respectively to the large and moderate deviations regimes in information theory parlance). Based on the training sequences as well as the test sequence consisting of a single change-point, we design a change-point estimator and further show that this estimator is optimal by establishing matching (strong) converses. This leads to a full characterization of the optimal confidence width (i.e., half the width of the confidence interval within which the true change-point is located at with high probability) as a function of the undetected error, under both the large and moderate deviations regimes.