论文标题

在耦合数据同化的时尺度分离与集合Kalman滤波器中

On temporal scale separation in coupled data assimilation with the ensemble Kalman filter

论文作者

Tondeur, Maxime, Carrassi, Alberto, Vannitsem, Stephane, Bocquet, Marc

论文摘要

耦合数据同化(CDA)独特地看作是数值天气和气候预测的主要关注点,并在全球范围内提出了重大努力。核心问题是尺度分离充当障碍,会阻碍跨模型组件的信息传播。我们简要介绍了CDA,然后使用集合Kalman滤波器(ENKF)专注于CDA。我们认为第一个与时间尺度差异的耦合方程式,并推断出:(i)跨成分效应从慢速到快速尺度的效果很强,但是,(ii)组成部分的效果在快速尺度上要强得多。虽然观察缓慢的尺度是可取的,并且会受益于速度,但必须以高频观察后者,否则误差会影响慢速尺度。实验是使用大气 - 海洋模型Maooam进行的。考虑了六种配置,与大气 - 海洋耦合的强度和/或模型模式的数量不同。通过检查Lyapunov Spectrum,Kolmogorov熵和Kaplan-Yorke吸引子维度,可以为模型配置进行全面的动态表征。我们还计算了协变量Lyapunov向量,并使用它们来解释模型不稳定性如何根据耦合强度在不同模型的模式上作用。该实验证实了观察快速尺度的重要性,但还表明,尽管其时间尺度较慢,但​​在海洋中频繁观察是有益的。已经研究了整体大小与不稳定子空间维度之间的关系。结果在很大程度上批准了未耦合系统的知名度:条件n> n0对于ENKF收敛是必要的。但是,具有许多接近零指数的MaoOAM的Lyapunov光谱的准定位率可能是即使在n> n0时,对于某些模型配置而观察到的分析误差的平稳逐渐减少的原因。

Coupled data assimilation (CDA) distinctively appears as a main concern in numerical weather and climate prediction with major efforts put forward worldwide. The core issue is the scale separation acting as a barrier that hampers the propagation of the information across model components. We provide a brief survey of CDA, and then focus on CDA using the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). We consider first coupled equations with temporal scale difference and deduce that: (i) cross components effects are strong from the slow to the fast scale, but, (ii) intra-component effects are much stronger in the fast scale. While observing the slow scale is desirable and benefits the fast, the latter must be observed with high frequency otherwise the error will affect the slow scale. Experiments are performed using the atmosphere-ocean model, MAOOAM. Six configurations are considered, differing for the strength of the atmosphere-ocean coupling and/or the number of model modes. A comprehensive dynamical characterisation of the model configurations is provided by examining the Lyapunov spectrum, Kolmogorov entropy and Kaplan-Yorke attractor dimension. We also compute the covariant Lyapunov vectors and use them to explain how model instabilities act on different model's modes according to the coupling strength. The experiments confirm the importance of observing the fast scale, but show also that, despite its slow temporal scale, frequent observations in the ocean are beneficial. The relation between the ensemble size and the unstable subspace dimension has been studied. Results largely ratify what known for uncoupled system: the condition N>n0 is necessary for the EnKF to converge. But the quasi-degeneracy of the Lyapunov spectrum of MAOOAM, with many near-zero exponents, is potentially the cause of the smooth gradual reduction of the analysis error observed for some model configurations, even when N>n0.

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